Majority of Canadians want change in Ottawa, 37% say they’d vote Conservative: Ipsos

A majority of Canadians say they want change in Ottawa, with 37 per cent saying they’d vote Conservative if a federal election were held tomorrow compared to 31 per cent who would vote for the Liberals, according to an Ipsos poll.

The poll also showed Conservative leader Andrew Scheer picking up the approval of 36 per cent of respondents, compared to Justin Trudeau‘s 32 per cent.

WATCH: June 14 — New poll suggests Trudeau’s popularity is plummeting ahead of election

Scheer was the preferred choice of women (35 per cent) and respondents aged 55 years and over (45 per cent), as well as people whose education had reached a high school level (41 per cent) or who had obtained a diploma (35 per cent).

Trudeau, meanwhile, was the preferred choice of millennials (33 per cent), as well as those with a post-graduate education (36 per cent), but that was just within the margin.

READ MORE: Only 32% of Canadians think Trudeau deserves re-election as Tories hold lead — Ipsos poll

Ipsos’ last poll showed 32 per cent saying that the Trudeau government had done a good job and deserved re-election, marking the lowest numbers he had seen since he was elected in 2015.

The latest poll showed that support up by one point, while 67 per cent said it was time for another federal party to govern.

Trudeau did not hold majority approval in any category of gender, age or education when respondents were asked whether the prime minister warranted re-election.

Polling also showed the Conservatives and Liberals “locked in a holding pattern” when it came to the popular vote.

The Conservatives polled at 37 per cent among decided voters, while the Liberals held the support of 31 per cent, when people were asked which party they’d support if a federal election were held tomorrow.

Meanwhile, the NDP took 18 per cent of the vote nationally, the Greens took seven per cent, the Bloc Quebecois five per cent and Maxime Bernier’s People’s Party of Canada one per cent.

However, 18 per cent of respondents said they didn’t know who they would vote for.

Ipsos noted that the Liberals are trailing in every region except Quebec.

The latest numbers are “good news for the Tories; bad news for the Liberals,” Sean Simpson, vice-president at Ipsos, told Global News.

“With SNC-Lavalin mostly in the rear view mirror, the Liberals were clearly hoping that they would rebound — but that has not been the case,” he said.

“Particularly concerning for the prime minister is that more Canadians believe that someone still relatively unknown — Andrew Scheer — would make the better prime minister.”

READ MORE: With SNC-Lavalin in the past, gap between Liberals and Conservatives tightens — Ipsos poll

Ipsos noted that the Liberals are trailing in every region except Quebec.

There, the Liberals are polling at 37 per cent, representing a lead of 13 per cent over the Conservatives, who are polling at 24 per cent.

The Conservatives lead the Liberals in Ontario with 38 per cent to 32 per cent, while the NDP hold 22 per cent, the highest margin they have in any region.


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